Lucky & Unlucky Shots

Driver shots where ball-flight quality (Stuff+) and the actual outcome (Strokes Gained) most disagreed. Unlucky drives looked like rockets but ended in trouble. Lucky drives came off badly but worked out anyway.

Lucky / Unlucky Shots

Where Stuff+ and Strokes Gained disagree. Unlucky shots had elite ball flight but bad outcomes; luckyshots had poor ball flight but good outcomes. Useful for spotting where the data quality, the course, or the dispersion happened to break a player's way (or didn't).

Most Unlucky

Brooks Koepka
#1Brooks Koepka
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R1 H11
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
113.0
97.1th pctile
SG OTT
-1.06
1st pctile
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Patrick Rodgers
#2Patrick Rodgers
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R1 H13
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
113.5
97.9th pctile
SG OTT
-0.34
3.9th pctile
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John Parry
#3John Parry
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R1 H11
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
112.0
95th pctile
SG OTT
-1.02
1st pctile
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Ryan Gerard
#4Ryan Gerard
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R1 H13
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
114.5
98.9th pctile
SG OTT
-0.31
5.1th pctile
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Sudarshan Yellamaraju
#5Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R1 H13
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
113.1
97.3th pctile
SG OTT
-0.34
3.5th pctile
View shot tracker →
Emilio Gonzalez
#6Emilio Gonzalez
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R1 H11
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
111.8
94.3th pctile
SG OTT
-1.05
1st pctile
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Ryo Hisatsune
#7Ryo Hisatsune
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard · Mar 5 · R3 H12
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
113.2
97.4th pctile
SG OTT
-0.32
4.5th pctile
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Brian Harman
#8Brian Harman
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard · Mar 5 · R3 H12
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
112.3
95.6th pctile
SG OTT
-0.36
2.9th pctile
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Neal Shipley
#9Neal Shipley
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R1 H13
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
112.3
95.7th pctile
SG OTT
-0.32
4.4th pctile
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Bud Cauley
#10Bud Cauley
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard · Mar 5 · R3 H12
UNLUCKY
Stuff+
112.4
95.8th pctile
SG OTT
-0.30
5.3th pctile
View shot tracker →

Luckiest

Zach Bauchou
#1Zach Bauchou
Valspar Championship · Mar 19 · R1 H7
LUCKY
Stuff+
61.6
0.2th pctile
SG OTT
+0.26
95.6th pctile
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Akshay Bhatia
#2Akshay Bhatia
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R3 H2
LUCKY
Stuff+
77.8
3.1th pctile
SG OTT
+0.25
94.8th pctile
View shot tracker →
Gary Woodland
#3Gary Woodland
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R1 H10
LUCKY
Stuff+
81.6
5.5th pctile
SG OTT
+0.27
96.8th pctile
View shot tracker →
Taylor Pendrith
#4Taylor Pendrith
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R2 H18
LUCKY
Stuff+
84.2
8.2th pctile
SG OTT
+0.31
98.3th pctile
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Daniel Brown
#5Daniel Brown
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R3 H15
LUCKY
Stuff+
83.0
6.9th pctile
SG OTT
+0.27
96.7th pctile
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Marco Penge
#6Marco Penge
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R1 H10
LUCKY
Stuff+
83.2
7.1th pctile
SG OTT
+0.27
96.4th pctile
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Pontus Nyholm
#7Pontus Nyholm
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R2 H2
LUCKY
Stuff+
82.0
5.9th pctile
SG OTT
+0.24
94.6th pctile
View shot tracker →
Adrien Dumont de Chassart
#8Adrien Dumont de Chassart
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R3 H18
LUCKY
Stuff+
83.2
7.1th pctile
SG OTT
+0.26
95.8th pctile
View shot tracker →
Nick Dunlap
#9Nick Dunlap
Sony Open in Hawaii · Jan 15 · R2 H2
LUCKY
Stuff+
79.9
4.3th pctile
SG OTT
+0.23
92.7th pctile
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Jacob Bridgeman
#10Jacob Bridgeman
WM Phoenix Open · Feb 5 · R2 H13
LUCKY
Stuff+
74.1
1.7th pctile
SG OTT
+0.21
89.5th pctile
View shot tracker →